Comparison of six different parameter estimation methods in wind power applications

نویسندگان

  • Yeliz Mert Kantar
  • Mehmet Kurban
  • Fatih Onur Hocaoglu
چکیده

In this paper, the different parameter estimation methods such as maximum likelihood method, least square method, weighted least square method, moments method, the method based on quantiles and maximum spacing method for the Weibull distribution which are widely accepted in wind power studies are presented and discussed. The effect of the selecting parameter estimation method on the estimation of wind power is also discussed. Then the wind power estimation results that would be obtained by using the parameters estimated with each method are evaluated. The analysis is performed to show the effects of overestimating or underestimating wind power values caused by an erroneous estimation of the probability density function parameters.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Different Types of Pitch Angle Control Strategies Used in Wind Turbine System Applications

The most common controller in wind turbine is the blade pitch angle control in order to get the desired power. Controlling the pitch angle in wind turbines has a direct impact on the dynamic performance of the machine and fluct­uat­io­ns in the power systems. Due to constant changes in wind speed, the wind turbines are of nonlinear and multivariate system. The design of a controller that can ad...

متن کامل

Analysis of Variability and Uncertainty in Wind Power Forecasting: An International Comparison: Preprint

One of the critical challenges of wind power integration is the variable and uncertain nature of the resource. This paper investigates the variability and uncertainty in wind forecasting for multiple power systems in six countries. An extensive comparison of wind forecasting is performed among the six power systems by analyzing the following scenarios: (i) wind forecast errors throughout a year...

متن کامل

Wind Energy Estimation for Production of Electricity in Iran

This paper covers the estimation of the average yearly production of an appropriate wind turbine for different locations in Iran. The effects of topography, the influence of obstacles such as buildings and shelters, the collective effects of the surrounding terrain, roughness classifications, and orographic elements such as hills, cliffs, etc., all have been included in the calculations. A full...

متن کامل

Applying Point Estimation and Monte Carlo Simulation Methods in Solving Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow Considering Renewable Energy Uncertainties

The increasing penetration of renewable energy results in changing the traditional power system planning and operation tools. As the generated power by the renewable energy resources are probabilistically changed, the certain power system analysis tolls cannot be applied in this case.  Probabilistic optimal power flow is one of the most useful tools regarding the power system analysis in presen...

متن کامل

Design of High-Efficiency and Low-Cost Six-Phase Permanent Magnet Synchronous Generator for Direct-Drive Small-Scale Wind Power Application

Permanent magnet synchronous generators (PMSG) have a huge potential for direct-drive wind power applications. Therefore, optimal design of these generators is necessary to maximize their efficiency and to reduce their manufacturing cost and total volume. In this paper, an optimal design of a six-phase 3.5 KW direct-drive PMSG to generate electricity for domestic needs is performed. The aim of ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012